Today in disaster resilience (13 October 2023)

Please find below links to some aspects of disaster resilience that were in the news recently…

Recent emergencies/disasters

Series of powerful earthquakes, including twin M6.3s, hit western Afghanistan in quick succession – more than 2 000 killed and 9 000 injured https://watchers.news/2023/10/07/afghanistan-earthquakes-october-7-2023/

Twin M6.7 earthquakes hit Papua New Guinea https://watchers.news/2023/10/07/twin-m6-7-earthquakes-hit-papua-new-guinea/

Gopalganj tornado leaves 25 shops, temples damaged, Bangladesh https://watchers.news/2023/10/06/gopalganj-tornado-leaves-25-shops-temples-damaged-india/

Major flooding in Scotland as motorists airlifted to safety after landslides https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-risk-to-life-and-dozens-of-flood-warnings-as-heavy-rain-continues-in-scotland-12979841

Tsunami waves up to 60 cm (2 feet) hit Japan’s Izu Islands following shallow M5.0 earthquake https://watchers.news/2023/10/09/tsunami-waves-up-to-60-cm-2-feet-hit-japans-izu-islands-following-shallow-m5-0-earthquake/

Dam burst triggers fatal landslide in Yaounde, killing at least 30, Cameroon https://watchers.news/2023/10/09/dam-burst-triggers-fatal-landslide-in-yaounde-killing-at-least-30-cameroon/

Tropical Storm “Max” hits Guerrero; Lidia to intensify into hurricane before Mexico landfall https://watchers.news/2023/10/09/tropical-storm-max-hits-guerrero-lidia-to-intensify-into-hurricane-before-mexico-landfall/

M6.0 earthquake hits Jujuy, Argentina at intermediate depth https://watchers.news/2023/10/10/m6-0-earthquake-hits-jujuy-argentina-at-intermediate-depth/

Wildfires prompt evacuations in Argentina’s Cordoba Province amid heat wave https://watchers.news/2023/10/11/wildfires-prompt-evacuations-in-argentinas-cordoba-province-amid-heat-wave/

Western Afghanistan hit by third M6.3 earthquake since October 7 https://watchers.news/2023/10/11/western-afghanistan-hit-by-third-m6-3-earthquake-since-october-7/

Extremely dangerous Category 4 Hurricane “Lidia” makes landfall in west-central Mexico https://watchers.news/2023/10/11/extremely-dangerous-category-4-hurricane-lidia-makes-landfall-in-west-central-mexico/

Volcanic activity worldwide 11 Oct 2023: Stromboli volcano, Fuego, Klyuchevskoy, Semeru, Ibu, Dukono https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volcano-activity/news/223106/Volcanic-activity-worldwide-11-Oct-2023-Stromboli-volcano-Fuego-Klyuchevskoy-Semeru-Ibu-Dukono.html

Myanmar – 15,000 Evacuate Floods in Bago, Mon and Yangon https://floodlist.com/asia/myanmar-floods-bago-mon-yangon-october-2023

Brazil – Rains and Floods Wreak Havoc in Santa Catarina as Emergency Declarations Escalate https://floodlist.com/america/brazil-floods-santa-catarina-october-2023

Powerful eruptions, significant gas and ash emissions at Yasur volcano, Vanuatu https://watchers.news/2023/10/12/powerful-eruptions-significant-gas-and-ash-emissions-at-yasur-volcano-vanuatu/

Two long-track tornadoes strike Tampa Bay, Florida https://watchers.news/2023/10/12/two-long-track-tornadoes-strike-tampa-bay-florida/

Extreme Weather and Climate Change

Scientists Examine Dangerous Global Warming ‘Accelerators’ https://insideclimatenews.org/news/17022023/climate-feedback-loop-accelerators/

Dubai Civil Defence Programme Maps Impact Of Fires On Climate Change https://menafn.com/1107208475/Dubai-Civil-Defence-Programme-Maps-Impact-Of-Fires-On-Climate-Change

Impact of 2050 tree shading strategies on building cooling demands https://journal-buildingscities.org/articles/10.5334/bc.353

Revising the Bureau’s ENSO Alert System: Adapting Indices in a Changing Climate http://www.bom.gov.au/research/publications/researchreports/BRR-083.pdf

Influence of urban extent discrepancy on the estimation of surface urban heat island intensity: A global-scale assessment in 892 cities https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959652623031906

Climate crisis costing $16m an hour in extreme weather damage, study estimates https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/09/climate-crisis-cost-extreme-weather-damage-study

Misogyny, authoritarianism, and climate change https://spssi.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/asap.12347

Rebalance attention from global target setting toward national climate politics and policy https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adk7428

Study finds that US 143 billion per year of the costs of extreme events is attributable to climatic change https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-41888-1

Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2108146119

Bureau of Meteorology says more heatwaves and fewer cyclones forecast for Queensland during severe weather season https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-10-09/queensland-severe-weather-forecast-bureau-of-meteorology/102952726

The U.S. just had its 7th-warmest September on record https://www.noaa.gov/news/us-just-had-its-7th-warmest-september-on-record

Recent Increase in a Recurrent Pan-Atlantic Wave Pattern Driving Concurrent Wintertime Extremes https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/104/9/BAMS-D-21-0295.1.xml

Positive IOD keeps getting stronger https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/positive-iod-keeps-getting-stronger/1554561

Greatly enhanced risk to humans as a consequence of empirically determined lower moist heat stress tolerance https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2305427120#

Impact of 2050 tree shading strategies on building cooling demands https://journal-buildingscities.org/articles/10.5334/bc.353

Climate target overshoot could lead to centuries-long global fish habitat loss: study https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2023-10-11/climate-overshoot-loss-fish-habitat-irreversible-warming/102940790

Sectoral water use responses to droughts and heatwaves: analyses from local to global scales for 1990–2019 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/acf82e

Why Australia urgently needs a climate plan and a Net Zero National Cabinet Committee to implement it https://theconversation.com/why-australia-urgently-needs-a-climate-plan-and-a-net-zero-national-cabinet-committee-to-implement-it-213866

Climate-driven extreme heat may make parts of Earth too hot for humans https://www.psu.edu/news/health-and-human-development/story/climate-driven-extreme-heat-may-make-parts-earth-too-hot-humans/

Climate hazards aren’t restricted by borders – African countries have taken a big step to address this https://theconversation.com/climate-hazards-arent-restricted-by-borders-african-countries-have-taken-a-big-step-to-address-this-213779

Glacial lake outburst floods in Alaska and the Himalayas show evolving hazards in a warming world https://theconversation.com/glacial-lake-outburst-floods-in-alaska-and-the-himalayas-show-evolving-hazards-in-a-warming-world-214829

Globally, September 2023 was the warmest September — and the largest monthly anomaly of any month — since records began in 1850 https://berkeleyearth.org/september-2023-temperature-update/

El Niño active; positive Indian Ocean Dipole strengthens http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

Stockholm to ban petrol and diesel cars from centre from 2025 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/11/stockholm-ban-petrol-and-diesel-cars-city-centre-2025-swedish-capital-pollution

Quantifying Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Human Deaths to Guide Energy Policy https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/16/6074

Observational and model evidence together support wide-spread exposure to noncompensable heat under continued global warming https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adg9297

Thermal and Optical Remote Sensing: Evaluating Urban Green Spaces and Urban Heat Islands in a Changing Climate https://www.mdpi.com/books/book/6691

New modeling method helps scientists understand extreme heat waves https://new.nsf.gov/news/new-modeling-method-helps-scientists-understand

Scientists have proposed a new ocean–sea ice–atmosphere observing system between the Ross Sea and Casey station https://www.antarctica.gov.au/news/2023/new-antarctic-observing-system-proposed/

October 2023 El Niño update: big cats https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/october-2023-el-nino-update-big-cats

Australia’s resources minister sees a gas-fired future just as international experts chart the fossil fuel’s decline https://www.theguardian.com/environment/commentisfree/2023/oct/12/australias-resources-minister-sees-a-gas-fired-future-just-as-international-experts-chart-the-fossil-fuels-decline

Three ex-hurricanes hit Ireland in recent weeks. What’s going on? https://www.rte.ie/brainstorm/2023/1012/1409210-ex-hurricanes-ireland-storm-agnes-ophelia-nigel-tropical-cyclones/

Disaster risk reduction

Sedimentary evidence of the Late Holocene tsunami in the Shetland Islands (UK) at Loch Flugarth, northern Mainland https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bor.12635

Understanding the dynamics of snow cover in forests can help us predict flood risks https://theconversation.com/understanding-the-dynamics-of-snow-cover-in-forests-can-help-us-predict-flood-risks-214619

AI-driven earthquake forecasting shows promise in trials https://www.preventionweb.net/news/ai-driven-earthquake-forecasting-shows-promise-trials

Wave movements in North Sea more predictable through machine learning https://www.deltares.nl/en/news/predicting-wave-movements-more-accurately-with-machine-learning

Tracking urban flood exposure: Global trends since 1985 https://blogs.worldbank.org/sustainablecities/tracking-urban-flood-exposure-global-trends-1985

CIRIA: The Natural Flood Management manual https://slowtheflow.net/ciria-the-natural-flood-management-manual/

SEAS5 skilfully predicts late wet-season precipitation in Central American Dry Corridor excelling in Costa Rica and Nicaragua https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/joc.7514

The Sendai Framework Eight Years On: Whither the “Science–Policy Interface”? https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/disaster-medicine-and-public-health-preparedness/article/abs/sendai-framework-eight-years-on-whither-the-sciencepolicy-interface/5537D69C3F36425B6ACAE6CAC2C1466C

Calibrating macroscale hydrological models in poorly gauged and heavily regulated basins https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/27/3485/2023/

Open and free data and tools for assessing the human presence on the planet https://ghsl.jrc.ec.europa.eu/

Normal and reverse storm surges along the coast of Florida during the September 2022 Hurricane Ian: Observations, analysis, and modelling https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1463500323000914

Decolonising Australia’s fire science https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/bigideas/philip-zylstra-decolonising-fire-management-uncle-dave-wandin/102882176

Machine Learning for Earth Sciences https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-031-35114-3

Biden-Harris Administration invests $26 million to improve NOAA forecasts of droughts and floods through public-private partnership https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/biden-harris-administration-invests-26-million-to-improve-noaa-forecasts-of-droughts-and-floods

Dry lightning can spark wildfires even under wetter conditions https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2023/08/230814122329.htm

ChatGPT in Hydrology and Earth Sciences: Opportunities, Prospects, and Concerns https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2023WR036288

CONUS404 is unprecedented high-resolution long-term weather dataset https://news.ucar.edu/132917/scientists-gain-powerful-tool-scrutinize-changing-us-weather-patterns

Representation of water infrastructures in large-scale hydrological and Earth system models https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/special_issue1210.html

State of Global Water Resources 2022 https://public.wmo.int/en/our-mandate/water/state-of-global-water-resources-2022

Volcanic Ash In Antarctica Pins Down Date Of One Of The Most Violent Eruptions In The Past 5,000 Years https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidbressan/2023/10/12/volcanic-ash-in-antarctica-pins-down-date-of-one-of-the-most-violent-eruptions-in-the-past-5000-years/

New York must do much more to protect itself from torrential rains https://www.vitalcitynyc.org/articles/floodproofing-new-york-city

Hydrogeology 101 – Introduction to groundwater science and engineering https://www.un-igrac.org/resource/hydrogeology-101-introduction-groundwater-science-and-engineering

The Second National Action Plan to implement the National Disaster Risk Reduction Framework https://nema.gov.au/sites/default/files/inline-files/28605%20NEMA%20Second%20Action%20Plan_V10_A_1.pdf

Natural disasters data book 2022: An analytical overview https://www.preventionweb.net/publication/natural-disasters-data-book-2022-analytical-overview

Emergency management

Officials discuss evacuation scheme around Campi Flegrei supervolcano following recent earthquakes, Italy https://watchers.news/2023/10/06/officials-discuss-evacuation-scheme-around-campi-flegrei-supervolcano-following-recent-earthquakes-italy/

Before disaster strikes: Preparing for complex emergencies with anticipatory action https://www.iwmi.cgiar.org/2023/10/before-disaster-strikes-preparing-for-complex-emergencies-with-anticipatory-action/

Scientists and Technologists: Pillars of Community Support https://www.iawfonline.org/article/presidents-desk-scientists-and-technologists-pillars-of-community-support/

Sluggish, confusing disaster relief programs aren’t just a B.C. problem, experts say https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/disaster-relief-financial-aid-programs-canada-1.6988067

New Evacuation Planning Handbook https://knowledge.aidr.org.au/resources/handbook-evacuation-planning/

Towards transformative action: The unfulfilled promise of resilient recovery https://www.preventionweb.net/publication/towards-transformative-action-unfulfilled-promise-resilient-recovery-0

How Wildfires and Weather Affect Portugal’s Public Health https://eos.org/research-spotlights/how-wildfires-and-weather-affect-portugals-public-health

Disaster Education, Communication and Engagement

Capacity strengthening engages community in DRR https://www.gndr.org/capacity-strengthening-engages-community-in-drr/

Will ChatGPT give us a lesson in education? https://www.nature.com/articles/d42473-023-00083-y

Call for competition essay entries: Words of Resilience: Youth Perspectives on Urban Flood Solutions https://youth4drr.com/wor/

Empowering Tomorrow’s Leaders: Girls on the Frontlines of Flood Resilience https://floodresilience.net/blogs/girls-on-the-frontlines-of-flood-resilience/

2023 International Day for Disaster Risk Reduction with the theme of fighting inequality for a resilient future https://iddrr.undrr.org/learn

Disaster psychology

Perceptions of Urban Community Resilience: Beyond Disaster Recovery in the Face of Climate Change https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/19/14543#

Flooding and Mental Health https://thefloodhub.co.uk/blog-flooding-and-mental-health/

Embracing climate emotions to advance higher education https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01838-7.epdf

Natural Hazard Versus Natural Disaster: Does Framing the Event Affect Preparedness Intentions, Attitudes, and Behaviour? https://spb.psychopen.eu/index.php/spb/article/view/8357

Global mental health and climate change: A geo-psychiatry perspective https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S187620182300117X

The natural warning signs of tsunami earthquake in Indonesia: case of the 2006 Cilacap event https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/17477891.2023.2190871

Free riding in climate protests https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01833-y

“And Then COVID-19 Happened”: Impacts of the Pandemic on Hazard and Disaster Researchers https://ascelibrary.org/doi/abs/10.1061/NHREFO.NHENG-1834

Sociology and disasters

Weather-related disasters led to 43.1 million displacements of children over six years – UNICEF https://www.unicef.org/press-releases/weather-related-disasters-led-431-million-displacements-children-over-six-years

Trust but verify: Validating new measures for mapping social infrastructure in cities https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S221209552200205X#f0030

This article delves into the critical role and functions of social workers in disaster response and recovery https://hrdc.gujaratuniversity.ac.in/Publication/article

New research shows why older adults are both vulnerable and resilient to climate disasters https://www.uab.edu/news/research/item/13798-new-research-shows-why-older-adults-are-both-vulnerable-and-resilient-to-climate-disasters

The Costs of Polarizing a Pandemic: Antecedents, Consequences, and Lessons https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/17456916231190395

Persons with disabilities constitute 16% of the world’s population, with 80% living in the Global South. They are frequently the most affected by natural hazards, climate-induced disasters, and global health emergencies https://www.undrr.org/report/2023-gobal-survey-report-on-persons-with-disabilities-and-disasters

Extreme heat amplifies social inequalities when it comes to subway usage and mobility in big cities, a new study shows https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/latest-news/stuck-to-the-subway-less-privileged-people-have-fewer-possibilities-to-adapt-their-mobility-behaviour-to-heat

World must act on unacceptable failures to protect persons with disabilities from disasters https://www.preventionweb.net/news/world-must-act-unacceptable-failures-protect-persons-disabilities-disasters

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NeilDufty

I am a Principal Scientist at Water Technology Pty Ltd, an Australian-based coastal, environment and natural hazards company - see https://www.watertech.com.au/. I specialise in the community aspects of disaster risk reduction and emergency management. Samples of my research and projects can be accessed at https://works.bepress.com/neil_dufty/ Check out my latest book 'Disaster Education, Communication and Engagement' at https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1119569796/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i6 I am also a published fiction writer specialising in short stories and poems - see https://neilduftyfiction.com/

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